tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Indianapolis via Austin: arrives on time 12%

  1. 13:30 SEA → 19:40 AUS
    WN 4956 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 AUS → 23:55 IND
    WN 319 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 42% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip7h 25mSEA 13:30 to IND 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.