tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:55 DCA → 20:50 ATL
    WN 4968 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 42% on time, 12.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 00:10 HOU +1 day
    WN 207 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (12.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 10mDCA 18:55 to HOU 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.