tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Des Moines via Washington: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 MDW → 08:45 DCA
    WN 4976 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:59 DCA → 13:46 DSM
    AA 5292 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 47m · 76% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 46mMDW 06:00 to DSM 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.