tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Las Vegas via Burbank: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:00 OAK → 18:10 BUR
    WN 4977 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 BUR → 20:10 LAS
    WN 794 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 10mOAK 17:00 to LAS 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.