tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:40 MSY → 08:00 MDW
    WN 498 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 MDW → 11:45 MCI
    WN 2529 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 05mMSY 05:40 to MCI 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.