tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:40 MSY → 08:00 MDW
    WN 498 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:32 MDW → 11:45 STL
    WN 2901 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 75% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 04mMSY 05:40 to STL 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.