tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:40 MSY → 08:00 MDW
    WN 498 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MDW → 11:55 PHL
    WN 4901 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip5h 15mMSY 05:40 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.