Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Nashville → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 57%
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07:55 BNA → 09:40 DENWN 499 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 45m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
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11:25 DEN → 12:25 PHXUA 1686 · United · 2h 00m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 30mBNA 07:55 to PHX 12:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.