tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Dallas via Midland: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:05 HOU → 17:35 MAF
    WN 4995 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Midland (MAF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 MAF → 19:55 DAL
    WN 57 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip3h 50mHOU 16:05 to DAL 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.