tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Jose via Denver: arrives on time 6%

  1. 18:40 BNA → 20:30 DEN
    WN 505 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 DEN → 22:55 SJC
    WN 1728 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 37% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection16%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 84% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (16%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip6h 15mBNA 18:40 to SJC 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.