tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Burbank via Oakland: arrives on time 23%

  1. 18:00 LAS → 19:35 OAK
    WN 5050 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 OAK → 21:38 BUR
    WN 4865 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 37mLAS 18:00 to BUR 21:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.