tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Salt Lake City via Las Vegas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 20:15 OAK → 21:52 LAS
    WN 5051 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 32% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 LAS → 01:28 SLC +1 day
    WN 1454 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip4h 12mOAK 20:15 to SLC 01:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.