tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:10 BNA → 12:45 DTW
    WN 507 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:03 DTW → 17:27 JAX
    DL 2994 · Delta · 2h 24m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 17mBNA 10:10 to JAX 17:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.