tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Dallas: arrives on time 20%

  1. 19:00 HOU → 20:10 DAL
    WN 52 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 75% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DAL → 22:40 SMF
    WN 4365 · Southwest · 3h 32m · 27% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip5h 42mHOU 19:00 to SMF 22:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.