tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 19%

  1. 13:55 BNA → 15:55 HOU
    WN 533 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 HOU → 18:10 DAL
    WN 44 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip4h 15mBNA 13:55 to DAL 18:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.