tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Antonio via Houston: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:55 BNA → 21:02 HOU
    WN 534 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 HOU → 23:30 SAT
    WN 4451 · Southwest · 55m · 54% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 35mBNA 18:55 to SAT 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.