tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → St Louis via Dallas: arrives on time 38%

  1. 20:30 HOU → 21:40 DAL
    WN 54 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DAL → 00:40 STL +1 day
    WN 1414 · Southwest · 1h 48m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 56mHOU 20:30 to STL 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.