tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 16%

  1. 17:20 BNA → 19:15 LAS
    WN 547 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 LAS → 21:40 SJC
    WN 2352 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 20mBNA 17:20 to SJC 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.