tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 19:00 SMF → 21:00 SEA
    WN 555 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 SEA → 05:00 MDW +1 day
    WN 2304 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 00mSMF 19:00 to MDW 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.