tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 17%

  1. 14:55 BNA → 18:00 MCO
    WN 569 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 52% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MCO → 20:50 MDW
    WN 2660 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 38% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 55mBNA 14:55 to MDW 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.