tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 30%

  1. 20:30 DAL → 21:40 HOU
    WN 57 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 HOU → 23:15 PHX
    WN 2066 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 45mDAL 20:30 to PHX 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.