tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Midland via Houston: arrives on time 34%

  1. 20:30 DAL → 21:40 HOU
    WN 57 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 HOU → 00:10 MAF +1 day
    WN 4800 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip3h 35mDAL 20:30 to MAF 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.