tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Long Beach via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 10:45 BNA → 12:20 MDW
    WN 575 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 MDW → 15:30 LGB
    WN 4413 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 69% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 45mBNA 10:45 to LGB 15:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.