tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 MDW → 23:20 MCI
    WN 2814 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 58% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 1h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip1h 37mBNA 21:40 to MCI 23:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.