tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 23:25 IND
    WN 3190 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 55% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip50mBNA 21:40 to IND 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.