tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 23:10 MEM
    WN 4100 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 45% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 1h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip1h 25mBNA 21:40 to MEM 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.