tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 MDW → 00:30 SEA +1 day
    WN 4144 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 57% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 50mBNA 21:40 to SEA 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.