tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 MDW → 23:45 DCA
    WN 4496 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 50% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 1h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip1h 07mBNA 21:40 to DCA 23:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.