tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 16%

  1. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 MDW → 22:05 LAS
    WN 596 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip2h 25mBNA 21:40 to LAS 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.