tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:40 MEM → 11:05 DEN
    WN 579 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 DEN → 13:30 PHX
    WN 1680 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 50mMEM 09:40 to PHX 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.