tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Fort Lauderdale via New Orleans: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:32 BNA → 15:08 MSY
    WN 595 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 MSY → 19:05 FLL
    WN 460 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 33mBNA 13:32 to FLL 19:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.