tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Everett via Las Vegas: arrives on time 77%

  1. 14:50 PHX → 16:00 LAS
    WN 611 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:50 LAS → 22:30 PAE
    AS 366 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 40mPHX 14:50 to PAE 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.