tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Orlando via Baltimore: arrives on time 44%

  1. 21:40 SJC → 05:45 BWI
    WN 621 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:35 BWI → 08:55 MCO +1 day
    WN 984 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 15mSJC 21:40 to MCO 08:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.