tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Louisville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:15 BNA → 13:20 PHL
    WN 623 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:34 PHL → 17:45 SDF
    AA 4720 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 30mBNA 10:15 to SDF 17:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.