tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Norfolk via Philadelphia: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:15 BNA → 13:20 PHL
    WN 623 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:32 PHL → 16:52 ORF
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 37mBNA 10:15 to ORF 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.