tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:30 BNA → 17:05 PHX
    WN 639 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 PHX → 19:30 BUR
    WN 4667 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 00mBNA 15:30 to BUR 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.