tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 11%

  1. 19:15 BNA → 20:50 PHX
    WN 642 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHX → 23:00 ONT
    WN 3313 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip5h 45mBNA 19:15 to ONT 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.