tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:45 HOU → 11:55 LAS
    WN 652 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 LAS → 14:20 SJC
    WN 4223 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 35mHOU 10:45 to SJC 14:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.