tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Portland via Sacramento: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:40 ONT → 17:05 SMF
    WN 670 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 SMF → 19:35 PDX
    WN 3813 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip3h 55mONT 15:40 to PDX 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.