tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via Ontario: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:55 PHX → 15:05 ONT
    WN 670 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ONT → 17:15 OAK
    WN 3155 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip3h 20mPHX 13:55 to OAK 17:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.