tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Denver: arrives on time 90%

  1. 17:40 SMF → 21:00 DEN
    WN 670 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 DEN → 05:48 JFK +1 day
    DL 758 · Delta · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 08mSMF 17:40 to JFK 05:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.