tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 5%

  1. 17:15 BNA → 19:55 SFO
    WN 673 · Southwest · 4h 40m · 17% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 SFO → 22:40 LAX
    WN 3648 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time5%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (21%).
Total trip7h 25mBNA 17:15 to LAX 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.