tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → St Louis via Sarasota/Bradenton: arrives on time 25%

  1. 11:50 BNA → 14:45 SRQ
    WN 677 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Sarasota/Bradenton (SRQ) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 SRQ → 17:00 STL
    WN 3880 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 10mBNA 11:50 to STL 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.