tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Chicago via St Louis: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:15 BNA → 07:35 STL
    WN 679 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 96% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:08 STL → 10:36 ORD
    AA 4104 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 28m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 21mBNA 06:15 to ORD 10:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.