tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 4%

  1. 16:25 BOI → 18:20 DEN
    WN 700 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 30% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:25 DEN → 20:55 SMF
    WN 136 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 9% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (9%).
Total trip5h 30mBOI 16:25 to SMF 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.