tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 27%

  1. 19:40 BOI → 20:25 LAS
    WN 704 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 LAS → 22:20 SNA
    WN 1590 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 45mBOI 19:40 to SNA 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.