tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Newark via Richmond: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:22 BWI → 11:18 RIC
    WN 705 · Southwest · 55m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:38 RIC → 16:08 EWR
    UA 3415 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 46mBWI 10:22 to EWR 16:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.