tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 4%

  1. 17:55 BOI → 19:05 PHX
    WN 711 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 54% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 PHX → 21:05 SAN
    WN 2580 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 12% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (12%).
Total trip4h 10mBOI 17:55 to SAN 21:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.