tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → New Orleans via Dallas: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:45 BOS → 20:55 DAL
    WN 737 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 39% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 DAL → 23:28 MSY
    WN 1370 · Southwest · 1h 28m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 43mBOS 17:45 to MSY 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.