tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 07:40 LAS → 10:25 SEA
    WN 739 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 18:00 MDW
    WN 3081 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 20mLAS 07:40 to MDW 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.